Guayaquil City vs 9 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
26.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
3º
10º
3º
47
4º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
LFC
1 - 0
RIV
21%
28%
51%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
RIV
3 - 0
CHA
69%
20%
11%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
INJ
2 - 3
RIV
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
RIV
3 - 0
CFC
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
RIV
2 - 2
CUN
47%
24%
29%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
OCT
3 - 2
CUN
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ESA
1 - 0
OCT
22%
27%
51%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
OCT
1 - 0
MAN
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
CSV
0 - 1
OCT
25%
29%
46%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
INJ
2 - 1
OCT
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |