Guayaquil City vs 9 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
29.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
3º
10º
3º
43
4º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 67 |
1º
|
88.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 59 |
2º
|
59% | |
|
|
4º
|
45 | 56 |
3º
|
31% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 55 |
4º
|
40.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 50 |
5º
|
36.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 50 |
6º
|
48% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 43 |
7º
|
84% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 34 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 33 |
9º
|
42.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 31 |
10º
|
63.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
26% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
74% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2024 |
ESA
2 - 2
RIV
23%
28%
49%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
RIV
0 - 2
CUN
47%
28%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 4
RIV
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
CSV
2 - 1
RIV
28%
30%
42%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 1
MAN
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2024 |
OCT
0 - 0
LFC
65%
22%
14%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
CSV
2 - 1
OCT
28%
29%
43%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
OCT
0 - 0
INJ
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
OCT
1 - 0
CHA
56%
25%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
ESA
1 - 0
OCT
20%
26%
54%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | -1 |