Club River Plate vs Sportivo Luqueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
50.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Club River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
AME
0 - 1
RPA
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
RPA
0 - 2
CCP
26%
27%
47%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
CDL
3 - 0
RPA
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
RPA
3 - 3
SPT
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
SPC
1 - 1
RPA
30%
28%
43%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Luqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
LQE
2 - 1
CCP
46%
26%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
GEN
2 - 2
LQE
27%
27%
47%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
LQE
2 - 0
GEN
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2015 |
SPO
2 - 2
LQE
24%
26%
50%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2015 |
SFE
0 - 0
LQE
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |