Club River Plate vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
41.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Club River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
AME
1 - 0
RPA
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
RPA
0 - 0
CCP
30%
27%
44%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 2
RPA
49%
27%
25%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
OLI
1 - 3
RPA
71%
18%
12%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
RPA
1 - 2
OLI
21%
23%
56%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 0
LIB
32%
26%
42%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
LQE
2 - 1
NAC
32%
27%
41%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 1
GUA
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
12O
2 - 2
NAC
36%
27%
37%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2021 |
12O
2 - 2
NAC
35%
27%
38%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |