Club River Plate vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
41.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Club River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
GEN
0 - 0
RPA
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
OLI
3 - 1
RPA
86%
10%
3%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
RPA
1 - 2
CCP
16%
24%
60%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
AME
2 - 3
RPA
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
RPA
1 - 2
GUA
37%
28%
36%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
NAC
4 - 3
CCP
18%
25%
57%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
AME
2 - 3
NAC
46%
27%
28%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
NAC
0 - 0
GUA
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
LIB
0 - 2
NAC
66%
21%
13%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
NAC
0 - 0
GUA
25%
26%
49%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |