Club River Plate vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
37.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Club River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
AME
2 - 6
RPA
74%
16%
10%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
RPA
2 - 3
CCP
22%
26%
52%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
DEP
0 - 3
RPA
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
LQE
1 - 0
RPA
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
RPA
1 - 1
GEN
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
NAC
4 - 1
GEN
44%
26%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
RÑU
0 - 0
NAC
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
NAC
3 - 4
OLI
22%
25%
52%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
NAC
65%
20%
16%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 2
GEN
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |