Club River Plate vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.3%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
49.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.1%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Club River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
LQE
2 - 0
RPA
69%
19%
11%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
RPA
1 - 1
AME
29%
28%
43%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
CCP
4 - 0
RPA
74%
17%
9%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2016 |
RPA
0 - 3
OLI
23%
26%
51%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
GEN
3 - 0
RPA
56%
25%
20%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
AME
2 - 1
LIB
45%
26%
30%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2016 |
RÑU
2 - 0
LIB
34%
28%
38%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
LIB
0 - 1
RÑU
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 3
LIB
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
LIB
2 - 2
GEN
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | +1 |