Club River Plate vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
53.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Club River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
GEN
2 - 0
RPA
50%
26%
25%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
RPA
2 - 0
LIB
26%
28%
46%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
RPA
2 - 3
NAC
36%
27%
38%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
AME
2 - 6
RPA
74%
16%
10%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +3 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
RPA
2 - 3
CCP
22%
26%
52%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 1
GEN
67%
20%
13%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2016 |
RÑU
0 - 2
GUA
27%
25%
48%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
OLI
0 - 1
GUA
46%
24%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 1
LQE
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
GEN
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |