Club River Plate vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
58.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Club River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 0
RPA
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
RPA
0 - 0
GEN
43%
27%
31%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2016 |
LIB
3 - 1
RPA
65%
21%
13%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
RPA
0 - 1
LQE
24%
26%
51%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
AME
0 - 1
RPA
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 2
GEN
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2016 |
LQE
1 - 2
GUA
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 1
IVT
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 0
CCP
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
IVT
1 - 0
GUA
45%
24%
31%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |