Club River Plate vs 12 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Club River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
RPA
0 - 0
LQE
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CCP
3 - 1
RPA
75%
17%
8%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
NAC
1 - 2
RPA
54%
26%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
RPA
0 - 4
OLI
9%
18%
74%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2020 |
12O
0 - 1
RPA
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
12O
3 - 3
GEN
54%
23%
22%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
GUA
3 - 3
12O
63%
22%
14%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
12O
3 - 1
AME
35%
26%
39%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
LQE
2 - 1
12O
61%
24%
16%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2020 |
12O
0 - 1
RPA
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |