Rivadavia Lincoln vs Real Arroyo Seco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
23.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rivadavia Lincoln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2006 |
JUV
0 - 2
RIV
38%
26%
37%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
RIV
0 - 1
RSA
37%
27%
36%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2006 |
RIV
2 - 0
DHA
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
GIM
2 - 1
RIV
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
RIV
3 - 1
GBR
29%
26%
45%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Real Arroyo Seco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
RAS
1 - 0
GIM
40%
24%
35%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
GBR
2 - 0
RAS
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
RAS
5 - 0
PLA
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
DHA
0 - 0
RAS
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
JUV
2 - 0
RAS
28%
25%
46%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |