Ritzing vs Horn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
52.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ritzing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
AMS
0 - 1
RIT
63%
20%
18%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
RIT
0 - 5
PAR
24%
23%
53%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ADM
2 - 0
RIT
56%
21%
22%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
RIT
2 - 0
FAC
60%
21%
19%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
RAP
5 - 0
RIT
69%
18%
13%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Horn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
SVH
3 - 1
SOL
68%
18%
14%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
AMS
1 - 3
SVH
32%
26%
42%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
SVH
2 - 2
NEU
76%
15%
9%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
PAR
0 - 2
SVH
43%
26%
32%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
SVH
1 - 1
SCH
76%
15%
9%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -1 |