Ritzing vs St. Margarethen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
6.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
2º
7º
2º
48
4º
14º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 78 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
0 | 65 |
2º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
68.5% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
5º
|
58.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
71% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
38% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
80.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
95% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
15º
|
68.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ritzing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
SPG
0 - 0
RIT
4%
9%
88%
|
34 | 8 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 7
RIT
8%
16%
76%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
RIT
3 - 3
FAV
60%
20%
20%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
ASK
1 - 4
RIT
11%
16%
73%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
RIT
3 - 3
GUS
89%
8%
3%
|
34 | 13 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
St. Margarethen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
STM
2 - 3
ASV
10%
16%
73%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
SCH
2 - 7
STM
65%
19%
16%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
STM
1 - 1
SOP
19%
18%
64%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
STM
1 - 2
NEU
12%
20%
69%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
STM
2 - 3
75%
15%
10%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |