Ritzing vs Schwadorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
68%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ritzing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2007 |
WIE
5 - 0
RIT
85%
11%
4%
|
20 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
RIT
0 - 3
SKN
11%
19%
69%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2007 |
FCW
3 - 1
RIT
80%
13%
7%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
RIT
0 - 1
KRE
47%
24%
30%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2007 |
ZWE
1 - 0
RIT
69%
18%
13%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Schwadorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2007 |
SCH
5 - 0
ADM
75%
16%
9%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2007 |
BAU
0 - 2
SCH
16%
22%
62%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2007 |
NEU
1 - 2
SCH
24%
24%
52%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2007 |
SCH
2 - 0
WIE
38%
24%
39%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2007 |
SKN
1 - 2
SCH
58%
22%
21%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |