Ritzing vs Horitschon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
13%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+73%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
2º
7º
2º
52
4º
16º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 78 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
0 | 65 |
2º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
5º
|
58.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
71% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
38% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
80.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
95% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
15º
|
68.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ritzing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
PAR
4 - 1
RIT
36%
22%
43%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
RIT
4 - 1
LEI
69%
17%
14%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
KLI
0 - 3
RIT
21%
20%
59%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
ASV
2 - 1
RIT
63%
21%
16%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
RIT
0 - 0
DEU
78%
14%
9%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Horitschon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
HOR
2 - 3
ASV
9%
17%
74%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
DEU
3 - 3
HOR
31%
21%
48%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
HOR
5 - 1
HAL
89%
8%
3%
|
23 | 9 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
STM
1 - 4
HOR
37%
22%
41%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
HOR
2 - 0
SPG
77%
13%
10%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |