Ritzing vs Baumgarten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
56.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ritzing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2010 |
OBE
2 - 0
RIT
51%
24%
25%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
RIT
3 - 0
ASK
60%
21%
18%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
GUS
4 - 0
RIT
36%
25%
39%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2010 |
RIT
0 - 0
NEU
74%
16%
10%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
RIT
0 - 0
FOR
78%
14%
8%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
BAU
2 - 5
FAC
59%
21%
20%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2010 |
ZWE
1 - 3
BAU
24%
24%
52%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2010 |
GAF
0 - 3
BAU
23%
23%
54%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2010 |
BAU
2 - 0
WIE
49%
23%
29%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2010 |
BAU
2 - 1
WIE
36%
24%
40%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |