Risca United vs Swansea University analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
69.8%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Risca United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
LLA
2 - 0
RIS
79%
13%
8%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
RIS
7 - 0
POR
61%
18%
20%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
RIS
1 - 1
TAF
31%
21%
48%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
RIS
2 - 5
BRI
11%
15%
74%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
TRE
4 - 0
RIS
83%
11%
6%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Swansea University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
SUF
3 - 4
PON
49%
23%
28%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
SUF
6 - 3
CAL
70%
16%
14%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 0
SUF
52%
22%
26%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
LLA
1 - 1
SUF
33%
24%
44%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
SUF
0 - 2
CAM
45%
24%
32%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |