Risca United vs Carmarthen Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
65.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Risca United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
POR
0 - 1
RIS
6%
12%
82%
|
27 | 8 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
RIS
0 - 1
PON
16%
21%
63%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
RIS
0 - 2
TRE
30%
21%
49%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
LLA
1 - 1
RIS
66%
17%
17%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
TAF
1 - 3
RIS
69%
17%
14%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
4 - 0
UND
81%
13%
6%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
TAF
2 - 0
CAR
23%
24%
53%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
3 - 1
LLA
68%
18%
14%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
LLA
1 - 0
CAR
29%
25%
46%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
SUF
0 - 1
CAR
32%
24%
44%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |