Risca United vs Afan Lido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
10.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17%
66.4%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Risca United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
MON
4 - 2
RIS
76%
14%
10%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
BAR
11 - 0
RIS
86%
10%
4%
|
22 | 50 | 28 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
RIS
3 - 2
CAL
35%
22%
43%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
CWM
3 - 0
RIS
86%
9%
5%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
RIS
2 - 4
LID
16%
18%
66%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Afan Lido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
AAF
2 - 0
LID
30%
20%
50%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
LID
2 - 1
TAF
63%
18%
18%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2020 |
CAM
4 - 1
LID
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
LID
1 - 3
STM
42%
24%
35%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -2 |
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
TAF
3 - 2
LID
14%
17%
69%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | -2 |