Riotorto vs Lourenzá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
43.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-65%
+125%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riotorto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
OUT
0 - 0
RIO
70%
18%
11%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
RIO
0 - 0
GUN
13%
19%
69%
|
6 | 13 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
CAT
2 - 0
RIO
92%
6%
2%
|
6 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
RIO
2 - 1
POR
26%
22%
52%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
MEI
2 - 0
RIO
89%
8%
3%
|
6 | 13 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Lourenzá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
LOU
1 - 0
CHA
9%
17%
74%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
XOV
1 - 2
LOU
70%
17%
13%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
LOU
1 - 2
FOZ
33%
24%
43%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
POL
5 - 0
LOU
91%
7%
2%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
LOU
2 - 3
MIL
23%
22%
55%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |