Riopele GD vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
16.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riopele GD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
VST
4 - 0
RIO
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
RIO
1 - 1
SPB
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
ACA
3 - 1
RIO
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1978 |
BOA
1 - 3
RIO
77%
13%
10%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1978 |
SLB
3 - 0
RIO
85%
10%
5%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
POR
1 - 0
VAR
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
VAR
2 - 1
ESP
66%
21%
14%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
BOA
0 - 2
VAR
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1978 |
VAR
4 - 0
ACV
66%
17%
17%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1978 |
VAR
2 - 1
MAR
62%
22%
17%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |