Rio Sao Paulo vs Serra Macaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
62.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Sao Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
NCI
0 - 1
RIO
70%
17%
13%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
RIO
0 - 1
SFC
18%
20%
63%
|
14 | 32 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
PET
1 - 1
RIO
74%
16%
11%
|
13 | 36 | 23 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
RIO
0 - 2
CMA
12%
16%
72%
|
14 | 42 | 28 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
DUQ
3 - 0
RIO
76%
14%
9%
|
14 | 39 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
SER
0 - 0
DUQ
31%
26%
44%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
OLA
2 - 2
SER
46%
26%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
SER
0 - 3
AUD
31%
26%
43%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
NCI
1 - 1
SER
33%
23%
44%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
SER
2 - 3
SFC
51%
22%
27%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |