Rio Sao Paulo vs Olaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.9%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
66.6%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Sao Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
AUD
0 - 2
RIO
75%
15%
10%
|
15 | 46 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
RIO
0 - 1
SER
17%
20%
63%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
NCI
0 - 1
RIO
70%
17%
13%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
RIO
0 - 1
SFC
18%
20%
63%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
PET
1 - 1
RIO
74%
16%
11%
|
15 | 38 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Olaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
OLA
1 - 3
DUQ
30%
28%
43%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
AUD
2 - 1
OLA
59%
22%
19%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
OLA
2 - 2
SER
46%
26%
28%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
NCI
2 - 3
OLA
29%
22%
49%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
OLA
1 - 2
SFC
42%
25%
33%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |