Paulista A3 Final
Global 2-3
Rio Preto vs Sertãozinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Preto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
SER
2 - 0
RIO
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
RIO
3 - 1
SAO
50%
25%
25%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
CAT
1 - 5
RIO
36%
27%
37%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
ATI
1 - 2
RIO
43%
26%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
RIO
3 - 2
ATI
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sertãozinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
SER
2 - 0
RIO
38%
27%
35%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
SER
0 - 0
MAT
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 1
SER
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
FLA
0 - 1
SER
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
SER
0 - 0
FLA
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |