Rio Preto vs Penapolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
37.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Preto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
AUD
2 - 1
RIO
65%
19%
16%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
RIO
0 - 1
RBB
31%
24%
45%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
RIO
3 - 0
AME
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 0
RIO
38%
24%
38%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
RIO
3 - 5
COM
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 0
PEN
37%
25%
38%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 1
NOR
45%
24%
31%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MON
1 - 1
PEN
42%
24%
34%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 1
AUD
39%
24%
37%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 1
SAN
58%
22%
20%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |