Rio Preto vs Itapirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
13.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Preto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
INT
3 - 0
RIO
30%
27%
42%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
RIO
3 - 1
SJS
61%
22%
18%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
FLA
1 - 0
RIO
33%
25%
43%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
NOR
0 - 2
RIO
26%
26%
48%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
RIO
2 - 0
OLI
59%
23%
19%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Itapirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
ITA
0 - 1
SER
30%
26%
44%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
OLI
2 - 0
ITA
45%
27%
28%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
ITA
3 - 1
GRÊ
65%
20%
16%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
COM
2 - 2
ITA
53%
26%
22%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
FLA
2 - 0
ITA
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -2 |