Rio Preto vs Guaratinguetá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
31.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Preto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
RIO
4 - 0
GRÊ
66%
21%
13%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
GRE
0 - 0
RIO
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
SER
1 - 0
RIO
40%
27%
34%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
RIO
0 - 1
CAT
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
RIO
0 - 1
PEN
30%
26%
44%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 1
INT
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
MAT
1 - 2
GUA
53%
22%
25%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 1
FLA
52%
23%
25%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
SAO
4 - 0
GUA
29%
26%
46%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
JUV
3 - 0
GUA
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |