Rio Preto vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
50.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Preto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
COM
2 - 1
RIO
36%
25%
39%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 1
RIO
35%
25%
39%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
RIO
3 - 1
SER
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 0
MAR
30%
24%
46%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
FER
3 - 4
RIO
46%
25%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 0
SAO
46%
27%
28%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 2
HOR
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 1
GUA
23%
24%
54%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 0
SAO
46%
27%
28%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
RBB
3 - 3
GUA
35%
24%
41%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |