Rio Preto vs Guaçuano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Preto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
RIO
3 - 1
INT
44%
26%
30%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
TAU
2 - 2
RIO
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
SJS
3 - 0
RIO
31%
24%
45%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
RIO
0 - 1
FLA
12%
20%
68%
|
51 | 78 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
RIO
0 - 0
SER
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guaçuano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 1
GUA
59%
22%
20%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 2
SAO
29%
23%
48%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
4 - 1
MAR
33%
24%
43%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
SVA
1 - 0
GUA
24%
24%
53%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
INT
2 - 1
GUA
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |