Rio Preto vs Grêmio Barueri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
12.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Preto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
GRE
0 - 0
RIO
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
SER
1 - 0
RIO
40%
27%
34%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
RIO
0 - 1
CAT
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
RIO
0 - 1
PEN
30%
26%
44%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
LIN
0 - 1
RIO
64%
21%
16%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
GRÊ
0 - 2
NOR
44%
26%
30%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
SAO
4 - 0
GRÊ
64%
21%
15%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
GRÊ
0 - 3
PRI
38%
26%
36%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
GRÊ
1 - 3
ITU
15%
24%
62%
|
39 | 65 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
SAO
2 - 1
GRÊ
68%
21%
11%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | -1 |