Rio Preto vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
47.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Preto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
SER
1 - 1
RIO
56%
23%
21%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
RIO
0 - 1
NOR
28%
27%
45%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
BAN
2 - 0
RIO
32%
26%
42%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
RIO
2 - 1
OLI
53%
23%
24%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
MAT
0 - 0
RIO
29%
25%
45%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 0
COM
29%
26%
45%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2022 |
COM
2 - 1
USA
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
OLI
1 - 3
COM
22%
26%
52%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
COM
3 - 1
BAN
65%
21%
14%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
NOR
2 - 1
COM
44%
27%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |