Rio Preto vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
31.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Preto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
4 - 2
RIO
54%
25%
22%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SAO
4 - 1
RIO
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
RIO
3 - 1
SAO
35%
26%
40%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 3
GUA
26%
24%
50%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
COM
2 - 1
RIO
36%
25%
39%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
COM
1 - 0
SAO
36%
25%
39%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 3
COM
63%
22%
15%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
COM
1 - 1
GUA
24%
23%
53%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
SAO
0 - 0
COM
58%
22%
19%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
COM
2 - 1
RIO
36%
25%
39%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |