Rio Preto vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
26.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Preto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
AME
1 - 3
RIO
49%
24%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 0
UNI
33%
26%
42%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
MON
0 - 0
RIO
57%
22%
21%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 0
RIO
34%
26%
40%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
SER
2 - 3
RIO
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
COM
1 - 0
CAT
35%
25%
40%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
COM
1 - 0
MON
35%
25%
40%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
RIO
3 - 1
COM
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
COM
3 - 2
AME
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
UNI
3 - 0
COM
66%
19%
14%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |