Rio Negro RR vs Progresso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.1%
58.9%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-83%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Negro RR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
GAS
6 - 2
RIO
73%
15%
12%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 0
RIO
78%
13%
9%
|
12 | 40 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
RIO
1 - 1
ARO
19%
18%
63%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
RIO
0 - 2
NAU
20%
18%
62%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
PRO
4 - 4
RIO
74%
15%
11%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
PRO
0 - 6
REA
38%
21%
41%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
MRF
5 - 1
PRO
12%
15%
73%
|
20 | 8 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
PRO
0 - 6
GAS
43%
22%
35%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
PRO
4 - 4
RIO
74%
15%
11%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
GAS
4 - 0
PRO
38%
21%
41%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |