Rio Negro AM vs Nacional AM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
58.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Negro AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 0
RIO
81%
14%
5%
|
24 | 63 | 39 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
RIO
1 - 1
UDA
56%
21%
24%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
OPE
3 - 1
RIO
21%
21%
58%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 0
RIO
80%
14%
6%
|
25 | 54 | 29 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
MEC
1 - 0
RIO
51%
22%
27%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 1
PFC
70%
18%
13%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 1
PRI
60%
21%
19%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
MEC
0 - 0
NAC
29%
24%
47%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 2
SAO
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
NAC
3 - 2
BAH
26%
29%
45%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +2 |