Rio Grande Valley vs Monterey Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
6.1%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Grande Valley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
RGV
2 - 1
ARI
41%
26%
34%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
MEM
2 - 2
RGV
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
RGV
0 - 1
LOU
20%
25%
55%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 3
RGV
26%
24%
51%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
RGV
1 - 0
COL
38%
25%
36%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Monterey Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
TUL
2 - 0
MBF
78%
14%
8%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
MBF
1 - 2
TAM
13%
21%
66%
|
32 | 61 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
LVG
4 - 0
MBF
70%
18%
13%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
MIA
0 - 0
MBF
85%
11%
4%
|
33 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
MBF
3 - 3
ARI
10%
17%
74%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | +1 |