Rio de Janeiro vs Barra Mansa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
21.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+83%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio de Janeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SCR
4 - 0
RDJ
28%
21%
51%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
RDJ
1 - 0
CGA
28%
21%
52%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
RDJ
2 - 2
ZFC
64%
19%
17%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ANG
0 - 3
RDJ
32%
21%
47%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
FRI
9 - 1
RDJ
53%
22%
25%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Barra Mansa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 0
ZFC
46%
22%
32%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ANG
1 - 1
BAR
58%
21%
21%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 2
BON
14%
21%
66%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
RIO
0 - 1
BAR
59%
20%
21%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
RDJ
5 - 0
BAR
64%
19%
17%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |