Rio de Janeiro vs Barra da Tijuca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
48.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+88%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio de Janeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
RDJ
1 - 0
CER
36%
22%
42%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
BEL
2 - 2
RDJ
15%
18%
67%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
RDJ
1 - 0
MAG
65%
19%
16%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
BON
0 - 0
RDJ
41%
24%
35%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
RDJ
1 - 0
GOY
28%
22%
50%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Barra da Tijuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 1
CAA
58%
22%
20%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
CER
3 - 2
BAR
27%
26%
47%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 0
TIG
53%
26%
21%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 2
BAR
15%
19%
67%
|
35 | 14 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 0
ADB
60%
21%
19%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |