Rio Claro vs Velo Clube analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
17.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Claro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
BAT
3 - 3
RIO
19%
23%
59%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
RIO
1 - 0
MOG
59%
24%
18%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2017 |
RIO
1 - 1
PEN
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 2
RIO
33%
25%
42%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 2
XVD
39%
28%
33%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Velo Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2017 |
SAO
3 - 1
VEL
67%
21%
12%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
VEL
2 - 0
POR
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
MOG
1 - 2
VEL
48%
26%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
VEL
1 - 2
BRA
29%
26%
46%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 0
VEL
48%
26%
25%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |