Paulista A2 Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Rio Claro vs Santo André analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
23.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Claro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 1
RIO
36%
27%
37%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
SER
1 - 0
RIO
33%
26%
41%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
RIO
1 - 0
XVD
35%
26%
39%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
JUV
0 - 1
RIO
33%
28%
39%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
RIO
1 - 0
POR
53%
25%
23%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 1
RIO
36%
27%
37%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 0
POR
44%
27%
29%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
JUV
0 - 1
SAN
39%
28%
33%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2019 |
SER
1 - 1
SAN
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 2
ATI
38%
27%
36%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |