Rio Claro vs Santacruzense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Claro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
4 - 1
RIO
43%
24%
32%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
NOR
1 - 1
RIO
54%
24%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
RIO
2 - 1
UNI
42%
25%
32%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 1
RIO
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 1
PEN
36%
25%
39%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 2
SEP
33%
25%
42%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
ATL
25%
23%
52%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
RIO
2 - 0
SAN
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 1
SAO
32%
25%
43%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
3 - 1
SAN
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |