Rio Claro vs Paulista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Claro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
COR
3 - 2
RIO
68%
22%
10%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2014 |
RIO
3 - 1
BOT
41%
26%
33%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
AUD
0 - 0
RIO
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
RIO
3 - 0
XVD
38%
27%
34%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2014 |
RIO
1 - 1
ITU
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
PAU
2 - 3
ATL
32%
25%
43%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
COM
3 - 0
PAU
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
LIN
1 - 0
PAU
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
PAU
1 - 2
PEN
38%
27%
36%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 0
PAU
82%
14%
4%
|
53 | 81 | 28 | 0 |