Rio Claro vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
71.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Claro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
MON
3 - 2
RIO
58%
22%
20%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
RIO
1 - 0
ITU
36%
25%
39%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 1
RIO
86%
11%
3%
|
52 | 83 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
RIO
0 - 1
OES
40%
26%
35%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
SER
1 - 1
RIO
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2010 |
PAL
4 - 0
FLA
86%
11%
3%
|
84 | 44 | 40 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
PAL
2 - 0
SAO
42%
26%
32%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
PAL
1 - 4
SAO
73%
17%
10%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
BOT
1 - 1
PAL
18%
24%
58%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
FLA
0 - 1
PAL
10%
19%
71%
|
84 | 44 | 40 | 0 |