Rio Claro vs Marília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
49%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Claro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 1
MON
43%
26%
32%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 1
RIO
60%
21%
19%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 1
AME
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
FER
1 - 0
RIO
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
SER
0 - 0
RIO
37%
25%
38%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 0
RIO
71%
18%
12%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
COM
1 - 0
MAR
19%
21%
60%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 0
UNI
54%
23%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
CAT
3 - 1
MAR
26%
22%
52%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 2
FER
69%
18%
13%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |