Rio Claro vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
34.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Claro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 0
SER
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
CAT
2 - 0
RIO
53%
23%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
RIO
3 - 1
COM
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 0
RIO
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 1
MAR
28%
23%
49%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
FER
1 - 1
MAR
31%
23%
45%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
FER
3 - 1
AME
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 3
FER
59%
21%
20%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
FER
2 - 1
SER
52%
24%
25%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
MON
2 - 0
FER
50%
23%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |