Rio Claro vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
24.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Claro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
FER
1 - 0
RIO
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 0
BAT
53%
26%
22%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
MAT
0 - 3
RIO
21%
21%
58%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
RIO
3 - 0
SAO
52%
26%
23%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
RIO
2 - 0
IND
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
COM
1 - 1
FER
25%
25%
49%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
BAT
0 - 2
COM
39%
27%
34%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
COM
2 - 0
IND
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
COM
5 - 0
MAT
52%
24%
23%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 1
COM
42%
27%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |