Rio Claro vs América SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Claro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
FER
1 - 0
RIO
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
SER
0 - 0
RIO
37%
25%
38%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 1
CAT
50%
25%
26%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
COM
0 - 0
RIO
32%
25%
43%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
COR
5 - 1
RIO
90%
8%
2%
|
54 | 83 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
América SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
AME
2 - 0
MON
43%
24%
33%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 1
AME
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
AME
1 - 1
FER
49%
23%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 3
AME
71%
18%
11%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
AME
3 - 2
OSV
62%
21%
18%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |