Rio Branco Acre vs Marília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
16.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco Acre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
RIO
2 - 1
TAB
85%
10%
5%
|
60 | 36 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
SER
1 - 1
RIO
17%
20%
63%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
RIO
3 - 2
JUV
79%
13%
8%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 1
BAT
77%
14%
9%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
BEB
1 - 2
RIO
13%
18%
70%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 0
GRE
63%
20%
17%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 0
MAR
24%
22%
54%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 0
TAB
78%
14%
8%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 2
CAP
60%
21%
20%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 0
MAR
15%
20%
66%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | 0 |