Rio Branco Acre vs Ji-Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
30.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco Acre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2020 |
RIO
2 - 1
VIL
48%
21%
31%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2020 |
GAL
0 - 0
RIO
57%
21%
22%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
RIO
0 - 0
ATL
22%
23%
56%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
FAS
0 - 0
RIO
48%
22%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
RIO
2 - 1
IND
34%
24%
42%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Ji-Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
PAR
0 - 0
FAS
64%
20%
17%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
PAR
4 - 0
BPA
33%
25%
42%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +3 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
IND
1 - 2
PAR
54%
23%
23%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 0
PAR
46%
23%
31%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
PAR
1 - 1
ATL
22%
23%
55%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |