Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 1-2
Rio Branco Acre vs Galvez EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
20.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco Acre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ALT
1 - 7
RIO
16%
18%
66%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
GAL
1 - 0
RIO
29%
24%
47%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
VAS
1 - 3
RIO
18%
21%
61%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
RIO
2 - 5
PAY
17%
23%
60%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
RIO
0 - 1
PLA
77%
15%
8%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Galvez EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
GAL
0 - 2
ATL
28%
24%
49%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
GAL
1 - 0
RIO
29%
24%
47%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
PLA
0 - 5
GAL
26%
22%
52%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
GAL
0 - 0
ALT
67%
18%
15%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
GAL
4 - 1
PLA
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |